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【XM Decision Analysis】--EUR/JPY Forecast: Breaks Higher
Risk Warning:
The purpose of information release is to warn investors of risks and does not constitute any investment advice. The relevant data and information are from third parties and are for reference only. Investors are requested to verify before use and assume all risks.
Hello everyone, today XM Forex will bring you "【XM Decision Analysis】--EUR/JPY Forecast: Breaks Higher". I hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:
- The Euro has had a very strong session against the Japanese Yen, and we are now clearing a major hurdle as we are seeing Japanese Yen weakness across the board.
- It's interesting because I'm hearing people on some of the financial channels talk about how the Japanese Yen should strengthen quite drastically.
- But what they are glossing over is the fact that nobody is buying Japanese debt. That's a major issue. So, if the Bank of Japan does in fact, tighten monetary policy, like I'm starting to hear people talk about, there is a cost to that.
- It is probably wiping out their domestic banking system because the Japanese banks hold so much of this debt that nobody is bidding for.
So, you either let the debt go to massive losses in the banking sector or you have to buy it yourself if you're the Bank of Japan. History tells us they tend to buy it themselves and therefore I think that's part of what's going on because even the US dollar is starting to tear up the Japanese yen at this point. Now that we have cleared the 168 yen level, I do think that we are free to go higher, probably as high as 172 yen.
It Will Be Noisy
But it doesn't necessarily mean that we get there in a straight line. This is also a risk on move as it were, but I think this probably has more to do with the yen itself, at least at the moment. If we pull back, the 165 yen level would be your floor. And although it is 300 points away as I record this, I understand that you're going to need a lot of pips as far as a stop loss is concerned in order to absorb the potential volatility here.
Markets have been extraordinarily volatile due to basically everything that's going on in the world. So that translates to smaller sizes and to positions and larger ranges of stop losses. It's the only thing you can control. With this, think short-term pullbacks continue to be buying opportunities and I do think we will go higher.
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