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【XM Forex】--AUD/USD Forex Signal: Forecast Ahead of Fed Decision, US Retail Sales Data
Risk Warning:
The purpose of information release is to warn investors of risks and does not constitute any investment advice. The relevant data and information are from third parties and are for reference only. Investors are requested to verify before use and assume all risks.
Hello everyone, today XM Forex will bring you "【XM Forex】--AUD/USD Forex Signal: Forecast Ahead of Fed Decision, US Retail Sales Data". I hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:
Bullish view
- Buy the AUD/USD pair and set a take-profit at 0.6600.
- Add a stop-loss at 0.6350.
- Timeline: 1-2 days.
Bearish view
- Sell the AUD/USD pair and set a take-profit at 0.6350.
- Add a stop-loss at 0.6600.
The AUD/USD exchange rate has formed an ascending channel as the US dollar index (DXY) has pulled back in the past few weeks. The pair was trading at 0.6487 on Monday, up by almost 10% from its lowest point this year.
US economic data and Federal Reserve decision
The AUD/USD exchange rate drifted upwards after a series of important economic data from the United States. Last week's report showed that the headline consumer price index (CPI) rose slightly from 2.3% in March to 2.4% in April, missing the expected 2.5%. Core inflation, which excludes the volatile food and energy products, remained unchanged at 2.8%.
The next key data to watch will xmcnbrokers.come out on Tuesday when the US publishes the latest retail sales, industrial, and manufacturing production data. Economists expect the data to reveal that the headline retail sales dropped to minus 0.7% in May from 0.1% in April as the impact of tariffs emerged.
These numbers will xmcnbrokers.come a day before the Federal Reserve meets and delivers its interest rate decision. Economists expect the bank to maintain a hawkish tone in this meeting as it observes the impact of Trump’s tariffs on inflation.
The AUD/USD pair will react to the latest jobs numbers from Australia, which are expected on Thursday. Economists expect the data to show that the economy created 25,000 jobs, down from 89,000 in the previous month. The unemployment rate is expected to remain at 4.1%.
AUD/USD technical analysis
The daily chart shows that the AUD/USD exchange rate has been in an uptrend in the past few weeks. It has moved from a low of 0.5932 in April to a high of 0.6545, its highest swing since November last year.
The pair has formed an ascending channel and is now in its middle point. It remains above the 50-day and 25-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMA).
It has also moved between the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci Retracement level, while the MACD and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) have moved downwards.
Therefore, the pair will likely remain in this range this week. A bullish breakout may see it jump to 0.6600, while a drop below the ascending channel will see it drop to 0.6400.
The above content is all about "【XM Forex】--AUD/USD Forex Signal: Forecast Ahead of Fed Decision, US Retail Sales Data", which is carefully xmcnbrokers.compiled and edited by XM Forex editor. I hope it will be helpful for your trading! Thank you for your support!
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