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【XM Market Analysis】--EUR/USD Forex Signal: To Retest 1.1215 and then Rebound
Risk Warning:
The purpose of information release is to warn investors of risks and does not constitute any investment advice. The relevant data and information are from third parties and are for reference only. Investors are requested to verify before use and assume all risks.
Hello everyone, today XM Forex will bring you "【XM Market Analysis】--EUR/USD Forex Signal: To Retest 1.1215 and then Rebound". I hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:
Bearish view
- Sell the EUR/USD pair and set a take-profit at 1.1215.
- Add a stop-loss at 1.1400.
- Timeline: 1-2 days.
Bullish view
- Buy the EUR/USD pair and set a take-profit at 1.1400.
- Add a stop-loss at 1.1215.
The EUR/USD exchange rate retreated to the psychological point at 1.1300, its lowest level since April 16 and 2.45% below its highest level this year. It retreated after a series of mixed US economic data and as traders focus to the upcoming Federal Reserve interest rate decision.
Federal Reserve interest rate decision
The EUR/USD pair retreated after the US published mixed economic numbers. Data by the Conference Board showed that the country’s consumer confidence dropped in April as tariff concerns remained.
Another report showed that the economy contracted in the first quarter as xmcnbrokers.companies and consumers cut back spending. It also weakened as the US trade deficit ballooned ahead of the Liberation Day tariffs.
On the positive side, the labor market continued doing well in April. The economy added over 177k jobs, higher than the median estimate of 138,000. Also, the unemployment rate remained unchanged at 4.2%.
The pair also reacted to the latest European consumer inflation data. The data showed that the headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 2.2% in April, higher than the expected 2.1%. Core inflation rose from 2.4% to 2.7%, also higher than the expected.
The next key EUR/USD news will be the upcoming Federal Reserve interest rate decision. Economists expect the bank will leave interest rates unchanged at 4.50%.
Jerome Powell and most Federal Reserve officials have hinted that they will hold rates steady until they see that inflation was moving towards the 2% target.
There are signs that inflation is moving downwards. A report released last week showed that the core PCE dropped to 2.6%, the lowest level since June 2024. Officials are concerned that inflation will pick up as the impact of tariffs set in.
EUR/USD technical analysis
The EUR/USD exchange rate peaked at 1.1576 in April as demand for the US dollar waned. It has now dropped to the key point at 1.1300, and formed a head and shoulders pattern, popular bearish sign. It remains above the 50-day moving average. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the MACD indicators have pointed downwards.
On the positive side, it has formed a cup and handle pattern. Therefore, there are signs that it will drop and retest the support at 1.1215, the upper side of the C&S, and then resume the upward trajectory.
The above content is all about "【XM Market Analysis】--EUR/USD Forex Signal: To Retest 1.1215 and then Rebound", which is carefully xmcnbrokers.compiled and edited by XM Forex editor. I hope it will be helpful for your trading! Thank you for your support!
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